Atlantic: Trump has left the war trigger for now; blockade and embargo to force the Islamic Republic to retreat
In a report on Donald Trump's change in calculations in the war with the Islamic Republic, the Atlantic magazine reported that the American president, after military attacks and threats failed to force Tehran to accept the agreement, has moved towards the strategy of "waiting and waiting" and the suffocating escalation of economic pressure.
According to this report, the White House is now counting on two levers more than new attacks: more severe sanctions and the continuation of the naval blockade of the Islamic Republic. The goal is to increase the economic costs of the war and put the government in a situation where it will be more difficult for it to continue resisting Washington's demands.
Scott Bessant, US Treasury Secretary, is one of the main figures behind this strategy. He believes that if the economic pressure is intense and long enough, it can bring the Islamic Republic to a point where it is forced to withdraw and accept the agreement.
But Trump's change in tactics is not the only product of economic calculations. The Atlantic reported that the massive consumption of ammunition and the depletion of US missile defense stocks during the war also limited Washington's military freedom of action and increased the cost of continuing direct confrontation.
At the same time, Besnet also raised a bigger vision for the post-hormuz crisis. He told Trump that the Strait of Hormuz may lose most of its current importance within two years and predicted that up to 70% of the energy passing through the strait could be transported through underground pipelines in the future.
In fact, the current calculation of the Trump administration is to make blockade, sanctions and economic erosion the main weapons against the Islamic Republic, instead of immediately entering another round of costly attacks, and wait for the accumulated pressure to force Tehran to make concessions at the negotiating table.
According to The Atlantic, Washington is now betting on this scenario: economic pressure to do what bombs and negotiations have so far failed to do.
Pulseiran24.com